The National Education Association isn’t exactly exuding confidence about its chances of prevailing in Friedrichs v. CTA. The union has spent much of the last year trying to prepare its affiliates in agency fee states for a new reality. Now it has taken the precaution of building its own 2016-17 budget without the benefit of agency fee revenues.
NEA expects it will have to do without $6 million it currently enjoys from fee-payers, but does not account for likely losses in membership should the Friedrichs plaintiffs win.
In fairness, no one can predict with any degree of confidence how extensive the fiscal impact will be upon NEA and its affiliates. We only know it won’t be good for them.