Fewer Members Mean Higher Dues

With teachers’ unions losing members, it places additional financial strains on those who remain. Much of the overhead is tied to staff costs, and RIFs are subject to the provisions of staff collective bargaining agreements. In order to maintain the same size staff, dues must rise.

But there’s an additional inflationary factor for many NEA state affiliates. Union dues are often set according to a formula based on average teacher salaries. If salaries rise, dues rise. Because layoffs are usually made according to lowest seniority, the lowest-paid teachers are released first. That action alone raises the average salary. Factor in automatic step increases for many teachers and you may see an additional increase in average teacher salary. Finally, there’s a lag involved in collecting salary statistics, so today’s dues are based on the pay status of two or three years ago.

What remains is a dwindling number of members forced to make up the dues difference for members who are no longer there. NEA national dues are expected to rise only $2 for 2012-13 (to $180), but several state affiliates are planning increases as much as $15.

The Nebraska State Education Association came up with another method for increasing revenue – one tested previously by affiliates such as the California Teachers Association. Last year, NSEA instituted a temporary, one-year special assessment of $10 for its Ballot Contingency Fund. This year the special assessment disappears, but by strange coincidence the dues level will not drop. The union simply appended the $10 to its normal increase to set state dues at $376 – a hike of $4 over last year’s total.

NSEA mimics CTA in another fashion. The dues total includes a state PAC contribution ($15), which “is refundable upon receipt of a written, individually-composed request.”

Individually composed? Isn’t that an undue burden for teachers in [Nearby City]?

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April 30th, 2012, posted by Mike Antonucci

California Dreaming

The latest Public Policy Institute of California poll shows Gov. Brown’s proposed tax initiative – which hasn’t yet qualified for the ballot – currently has 54 percent support among likely voters. Historically in this state, ballot initiatives lose support over time, so it looks like an uphill climb. If the unscientific San Francisco Chronicle readers’ poll accompanying the article is any indication, the opposition is just getting warmed up.

Leaving aside the usual back-and-forth over tax increases and spending cuts, there is the question of what exactly the new tax revenue will be spent on. David Crane thinks he has the answer.

Crane is an investment banker and a Democrat. He was appointed by Gov. Schwarzenegger to sit on the board of the California State Teacher Retirement System (CalSTRS). He did for a year, until he was refused confirmation by the state legislature, which disliked his repeated concerns about the future health of the state’s pension funds. Crane says whatever new money is raised by the Brown ballot initiative will have to cover pension contributions:

Because CalSTRS has earned only 60 percent of its forecasted investment return since 1999, it needs school districts to boost contributions by more than $100 billion. Worse, CalSTRS waited so long to seek more contributions that its request is now for an extra $4.5 billion a year, almost double the $5 billion a year it already receives in contributions.

…To compound the problem, during the real-estate bubble the CalSTRS board bet more on ever-rising home prices, even purchasing land for prospective development. Since then, it has earned less than zero on its substantial real-estate portfolio and, more important for the school districts on the hook for shortfalls, suffered a loss of more than 10 percent a year as compared with the return the fund must earn to meet its forecasts.

CalSTRS is now so far behind its forecast that the stock market would have to be almost 2.5 times higher than it is today in order for the system to meet that forecast, and from that point would have to double every nine years to keep pace. As a result, 6 million schoolchildren will get no benefit from the proposed tax increase. Worse, unless accompanied by a systemic solution, the tax increase will simply mask the problem and enable it to grow.

None of this should come as a shock to anyone. Crane and others have warned about this inevitability for years. Here’s an excerpt from an August 2006 Los Angeles Times story:

Democratic legislators, who receive millions in campaign donations from teachers unions and other government labor groups, said it wasn’t Crane’s job to meddle in investment forecasts. California’s numbers are in line with those of other states, they note, and its pension investments have beat projections over the last 20 years.

But Crane, a close friend of Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger, represents a cadre of market gurus who see investment profits flattening. They worry that state pension systems are heading down the same path as corporate retirement plans that hit trouble after failing to meet rosy earnings projections.

…The stakes are huge — especially for California, which has more than $350 billion in retirement funds covering teachers and other public employees. Falling short of the nearly 8% return that state money managers project for those funds could create deficits of tens of billions of dollars.

Taxpayers would have to ante up; retirees’ benefits are locked in by contract. Elected officials could be forced to raise taxes, cut services or borrow money. California’s teacher retirement fund already has a projected $20-billion shortfall.

Let’s laugh and cry at the same time at that last figure – $20 billion. CalSTRS just announced its current shortfall is $64.5 billion.

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April 27th, 2012, posted by Mike Antonucci

Horror Double Feature

Just got my first look at NEA’s Internet political ad titled “The Hole”:

What do you think? Maybe we can run it on a midnight twin bill with “Night of the Living Ed“:

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April 26th, 2012, posted by Mike Antonucci

Bursting Bubbles

It is with apprehension that I venture into the minefield of standardized tests. I can’t line up solidly on one side or the other. I agree with our education establishment (yes, such things are possible) that the tests are overused and misused, and even in the best of circumstances paint only a partial picture of student achievement and school effectiveness. On the other hand, I’m extremely uncomfortable with the notion – expounded daily in a variety of venues – that standardized tests are the soul-killing source of all that is evil and wrong in our public schools.

We’re reminded of the deficiencies of the Manichaean view through an essay in the New York Times by middle school English teacher Claire Needell Hollander, which inspired John Thompson of This Week in Education to conclude, “Even when our bubble-in tests ‘succeed’ and scores are raised, the costs are too high because we fail to teach  kids ‘that reading can be transformative and that it belongs to them.’” But today Paul Bruno of This Week In Education sings the praises of standardized tests. It won’t surprise you to know that Thompson’s post received favorable comments while Bruno’s did not.

I once wrote my own defense of standardized tests so I won’t repeat those arguments here. It’s just that Ms. Hollander’s editorial itself demonstrates that we will get nowhere with the “either one or the other” approach.

Hollander is an education reformer’s dream. She’s teaching Steinbeck, Shakespeare and Salinger to underprivileged middle school students. There’s nothing dumbed-down about her approach or curriculum. She expresses the dismay many teachers feel when, despite her laudable efforts, her students don’t necessarily perform well on English tests:

I found that some students made gains of over 100 points on the statewide English Language Arts test, while other students in the same group had flat or negative results. In other words, my students’ test scores did not reliably indicate that reading classic literature added value.

As a result, she now spends less time on literature and more time on test-specific short passages. Even the staunchest defender of fundamentals must find this regrettable and wrong.

Where Hollander goes astray is in her solution to her quandary:

Better yet, we should abandon altogether the multiple-choice tests, which are in vogue not because they are an effective tool for judging teachers or students but because they are an efficient means of producing data. Instead, we should move toward extensive written exams, in which students could grapple with literary passages and books they have read in class, along with assessments of students’ reports and projects from throughout the year. This kind of system would be less objective and probably more time-consuming for administrators, but it would also free teachers from endless test preparation and let students focus on real learning.

She explains this is necessary because her low-income students “begin school with a less-developed vocabulary and are less able to comprehend complex sentences than their more privileged peers [and] are also less likely to read at home.”

How does she know this? Certainly we know it is true in the aggregate because various government agencies and academic researchers have gathered the data and analyzed the results. Does she have empirical vocabulary and reading comprehension information on her students going back to first grade? Probably not, but if she does, it is due to standardized testing.

There is one other problematic phrase – “let students focus on real learning.” Vocabulary, grammar, fractions and the periodic table are real learning. Both students and teachers in shop class would like to spend their time building chairs and shelves. It’s silly to suggest they should be freed from the dull burden of learning to use saws, hammers and tape measures.

A good teacher is one with a firm grasp of her area of expertise, some skill at passing it along, and the crucial ability to create an environment where learning can take place. The rest is up to the individual student. There are two sentences, separated widely in the column, that lead me to conclude that Ms. Hollander is a good teacher who may overrate her students:

* “When we read the end together out loud in class, my toughest boy, a star basketball player, wept a little, and so did I.”

* “Many will read only during class time, with a teacher supporting their effort.”

I’m assuming when Hollander writes, “read the end together out loud” she doesn’t mean en masse but that someone read and the rest listened. Nothing wrong with that, except it’s not reading. Reading is a solitary act, and Hollander states that many of her students won’t do it alone. How do we know they can do it alone? The solution the system has devised, as flawed as it may be, is to give them a test in which they are not allowed to communicate with others, but must read a passage on their own and answer questions about what it means.

Under these circumstances, it’s unfair to view Ms. Hollander as a failure simply because of her students’ scores. She is clearly adding value to their education that is not measured by the test. However, it is unfair of her to blame the test, or the entire system of testing, because her students cannot reliably demonstrate mastery of what it does measure.

One of the immutable laws of punditry is to delineate two extreme positions and then unveil a brilliant Third Way to settle their differences. I don’t have one of those. Getting ready for the next standardized test is not a worthy activity for American students. Getting rid of standardized tests is a surrender to the idea that there are no such things as objective measurements of student learning. I just don’t find either position very tenable.

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April 25th, 2012, posted by Mike Antonucci

Check Your Mail for Invitations First

The Connecticut Education Association will be holding rallies outside the state Capitol tonight and tomorrow night. No official word on whether the public will be allowed to attend.

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April 24th, 2012, posted by Mike Antonucci

The Eternal Role of the Strategic Action Initiative

Click here to read:

1) The Eternal Role of the Strategic Action Initiative

2) Last Week’s Intercepts

3) Quote of the Week

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April 23rd, 2012, posted by Mike Antonucci

Dribbling

It’s a little off-topic, but it’s interesting to me to see the issues being raised in a dispute between National Basketball Players Association president Derek Fisher on the one hand, and the union’s executive committee along with executive director Billy Hunter on the other. Veiled recriminations are flying back and forth in the wake of last year’s lockout and subsequent settlement with the league.

The executive committee voted unanimously to demand Fisher’s resignation for unspecified “conduct detrimental to the union.” Fisher, who has two years left in his term, refused and is demanding an independent audit of the union’s finances. There is some question as to whether there is any mechanism in the union constitution to oust the president.

On one side there is the perception that Fisher conducted back-channel negotiations with the owners during the lockout, to the detriment of the players’ negotiating position. On the other side there is the perception that Hunter is running the union as his personal fiefdom and has put too many relatives on the payroll.

Now that the lockout is over, the players are generally apathetic about the union’s operations – a familiar sentiment among rank-and-file – but those who have commented seem supportive of an audit, including Los Angeles Lakers star Kobe Bryant.

As you might imagine, the NBPA is an unusual kind of union, with only 427 members, virtually all of whom are multi-millionaires. Union dues are $10,000 annually but account for only a small portion of the association’s revenues. More than half of dues income is needed just to cover Hunter’s $2.4 million annual salary.

Any financial mismanagement or chicanery would be of the petty variety, unless it involves the pension fund, which, if I read the financial documents correctly, holds over $131 million.

Both sides are chattering about transparency, which makes me think everyone has something to hide.

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April 23rd, 2012, posted by Mike Antonucci



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